A MODEL PREDICTING PLAYER SCORING INDEPENDENT OF TEAMMATE QUALITY
One of the greatest challenges in sports analytics is determining the skill of a player independently of quality of teammates.
This is where regression-based approaches can provide a more rigorous alternative in isolating a player’s true talent.
Introduce a regression-based method to estimate an NHL player’s expected scoring performance independently of the passing strength of his teammates.
Delta Box Score is a rate-based metric of a player’s projected goals.
The difference between a player’s projected goals per 60 minutes and actual goals per 60 minutes will be called Delta Box Score or DBS.
My hope is that this is the very first step in devising player box score statistics that are independent of teammate strength, passing or other.
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