INTRODUCTION
League average 5v5 shooting percentage is normally just shy of 8%
forwards tend to have higher shooting percentages (average 10.2%) than on-ice shooting percentages (average 8.0%) for two reasons. The former is boosted by the power play while the latter is not (once again: this new statistic can be refined), and also because defensemen take a lot of low probability shots.
Sh% Depending On Pass
• Behind The Net – 6.73
• Faceoff – 1.63
• None OZ Faceoff – 1.97
• Other – 4.00
• Point – 0.91
• Royal Road – 15.50
• Stretch – 5.16
Sh% By Line:
• 1 – 7.97 - 9.22
• 2 – 7.42 - 8.54
• 3 – 6.89 - 7.64
• 4 – 5.97 - 6.24
SH% BY SCORE
SH% BY SCORE
7.60% … down 2+ goals
7.75% … down 1 goal
7.52% … tied
8.40% … up 1 goal
9.19% … up 2+ goals
Goals for and against per 60 minutes by teams in those situations:
2.42 – 2.32 … down 2+ goals
2.39 – 2.26 … down 1 goal
2.21 – 2.21 … tied
2.26 – 2.39 … up 1 goal
2.31 – 2.42 … up 2+ goals
In other words, being down actually gives you a small advantage in future goals” he writes. I think that there have been enough goals scored between 2007 and 2013 for us to conclude that there is a very real advantage to the team that is down by a goal.
SH% DIFFERENCES 1st-4th LINES
Top players regressed towards 9.7% while bottom tier players regressed towards ~6.3%
7.97, 7.42, 6.89, 5.97
First-line forwards are 6% better than second-line forwards at finishing, 13% better than third-liners and 23% better than fourth-liners.
Defensemen, as a group, fall about halfway between 3rd and 4th line forwards in terms of finishing talent, though they shoot from such different spots on the ice it’s hard to quantify that talent.
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