PLAYING AN AGGRESSIVE PK
Recently history suggests that you can win a Stanley Cup without an elite power play.
The penalty kill is a different story. None of the clubs mentioned above had a PK rate under 83% in their Cup winning seasons; same goes for the Chicago Blackhawks and their runs.
AGGRESSIVE PLAY ON PK PAYS OFF
increasing the number of shots you take while shorthanded generally results in more shorthanded goals for, just as we’d expect. We also see that increasing the number of shots taken while down a skater increases the number of goals allowed, but the relationship is a lot weaker than it is for goal scoring
And finally (and most importantly), increasing the number of shots you generate on the penalty kill ultimately tends to increase your goal differential modestly, although once again the relationship isn’t all that strong.
PK Aggressiveness = (PK Controlled Entries For + PK Failed Entries For)/(PK Entries Against)
PK Aggressiveness is calculated as a percentage, and represents the fraction of the time that a team exited the zone on the powerplay and attempted to enter their opponent’s zone with possession.
The important thing to note though is that PK Aggressiveness is independent of a team’s defensive ability
Penalty kills that attempt to control more entries into the offensive zone are inherently more aggressive.
Aggressive penalty kills tended to score more goals, but didn’t necessarily allow significantly more goals against, and in total saw a modest positive effect.
playing more aggressively on the penalty kill will generally result in better outcomes for teams.
It does appear that team’s may see better results the more they actively try to score on the penalty kill.
In the end, the goal in hockey is simply to finish the game with more goals than your opponent, and it certainly appears that on the penalty kill the best defense may actually be a good offense.
ACCURATELY PREDICTING WHICH TEAMS WILL SCORE ON PK
overall the conclusion has to be that special teams should be treated with care. We still know very little about them
The share of shots on goal taken by the penalty killing team on 5v4 penalties has increased from 14 percent in the 2015-16 season to nearly 19 percent in the 2018-19 season. There were increases of similar magnitude for shot attempts, unblocked shot attempts, and expected goals, and a smaller increase in the share of goals.
Offense on PK is increasing
This is because teams on PP are using 4F1D structure, giving teams on PK more opportunity for themselves
(Oct 03, 2021)
When on the penalty kill (PK) there is more space per player to cover and you cannot play person-on-person coverage. If you do, it’s very easy for the opposing team
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